View:

May 17, 2024

Chart USD/KRW Update: Extending bounce from 1343.00 support
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 2:25 AM UTC

Extending bounce from the 1343.00 support and regaining the 1350.00 level opens up stronger bounce 

Chart USD/SGD Update: Extending corrective bounce from 1.3420 low
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Losses through the 1.3450 support saw deeper pullback checked ahead of the 1.3415, 50% Fibonacci level

Chart GBP/USD Update: Lower in consolidation from the 1.2700/10 resistance
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 1:52 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 1.2700/10 resistance

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower in consolidation below 1.0900 level
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 1:44 AM UTC

Turned lower in consolidation below the 1.0900 level as prices unwind the overbought intraday studies

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Rebound return focus to 169.40 resistance
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 1:31 AM UTC

Extending rebound from the 167.33 low to regain the 168.00 level to return focus to the 169.40 resistance

Chart USD/JPY Update: Turned up in consolidation from 153.60 low
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 12:59 AM UTC

Limited on break of the 154.00 level with bounce at the 153.60 low retracing pullback from the 156.78 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Paused at the .6135/50 congestion area
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 12:40 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation from test of the .6135/50 congestion area

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating below .6700 level, room for higher later
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 12:11 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the .6700 level as prices settled back in consolidation from the .6714 high

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform individually against the USD as the greenback followed the post CPI drop initially before rebounding in the New York session. KRW saw the largest gains of 1.79%, followed by THB 1.09%, IDR 0.65%, TWD 0.61%, MYR 0.5%, PHP 0.12% and HKD 0.11%; the biggest losers are

May 16, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, May 17th
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

USD to stay soft after mildly weaker CPI
USD/JPY still has most scope for decline
EUR/JPY also looks overstretched
AUD dips on employment data but upside still favoured

North American Summary and Highlights 16 May
Freemium Article

May 16, 2024 7:45 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was generally firmer, though most clearly so versus the JPY and CHF.  

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating test of 1.3590/00 - studies leaning lower
Freemium Article

May 16, 2024 3:37 PM UTC

Little change, as unwinding oversold intraday studies and flattening oversold daily stochastics turn near-term sentiment cautious

Preview: Due May 23 - U.S. May S&P PMIs - Slippage seen, particularly in Manufacturing
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 3:26 PM UTC

We expect May’s S and P PMIs to show slippage, manufacturing quite significantly to 48.5 from 50.0, but services only marginally to 51.0 from 51.3. 

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, May 17th
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 3:14 PM UTC

USD to stay soft after mildly weaker CPI
USD/JPY still has most scope for decline
EUR/JPY also looks overstretched
AUD dips on employment data but upside still favoured

Chart AUD/USD Update: Meeting sellers above 0.6700 - downside to remain limited
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:40 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have met selling interest just above congestion around 0.6700

U.S. April Industrial Production - Underlying picture looks flat
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:31 PM UTC

April industrial production was unchanged with a downward revision to March offset by an upward revision to February. Manufacturing was weak at -0.3% though outside a negative correction in autos the drop was only 0.1%, leaving a fairly flat underlying picture. 

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:30 PM UTC

The break below 168.00 has bounced smartly from congestion support at 167.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Smart bounce, but gains to remain limited
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:18 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 155.00 has bounced smartly from congestion support at 154.00

Brazil: Possible Impacts of the Floods
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:07 PM UTC

Unprecedented floods in Rio Grande do Sul, a state that contributes 6.4% to Brazil's GDP and 13.3% to its agricultural production, have submerged several cities. The immediate halt in economic activity may reduce Brazil's Q2 GDP by up to 0.4%. The federal government is increasing aid, potentially ra

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited gains from the 104.25 Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:05 PM UTC

Anticipated losses have reached support at the 104.25 Fibonacci retracement

U.S. Initial Claims, Housing Starts, Philly Fed - No real surprises but consistent with a modest slowing
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 1:00 PM UTC

The latest data is all close to consensus, initial claims partially correcting a sharp rise last week, housing starts correcting a sharp fall last month but permits seeing a second straight dip while the Philly Fed corrected from a strong preceding month but remains positive.  All this is consisten

USD flows: USD continues recovery after data
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 12:59 PM UTC

The USD has extended gains after the claims and Philly Fed, but upside looks quite limited

Chart USD/RUB Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 11:44 AM UTC

The anticipated test below 91.0000 has bounced from congestion around 90.0000

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Consolidating - focus remains on February 2020 lows
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 11:28 AM UTC

Little change, as rising intraday studies and flattening oversold daily stochastics keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Room for still lower
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 10:53 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a drift lower

European Summary and Highlights 16 May
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 10:46 AM UTC

The USD was generally firmer through the European morning, with EUR/USD losing around 15 pips to 1.0870 but USD/JPY seeing the biggest move, rising around 80 pips to 154.65.

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Fresh 2024 highs - pressuring resistance at the 1.4820 Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 10:19 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have extended to fresh 2024 highs

Psychology for major markets May 16th
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 10:08 AM UTC

USD softer post-CPI 

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 16th
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 8:59 AM UTC

USD to stay soft after mildly weaker CPI
USD/JPY still has most scope for decline
EUR/JPY also looks overstretched
AUD dips on employment data but upside still favoured

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidation to give way to a test lower
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 8:28 AM UTC

The test above congestion resistance has met selling interest around 0.9825

Chart USD/CHF Update: Pressuring 0.8980/00 - room for lower
Freemium Article

May 16, 2024 8:06 AM UTC

Anticipated losses have reached support at 0.9000 and the 0.8980 Fibonacci retracement

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Leaning lower, but downside to remain limited
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 7:53 AM UTC

Little change, as choppy trade gives way to consolidation around congestion support at 0.8580

Chart EUR/USD Update: Strong resistance at the 1.0930 Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 7:42 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached congestion resistance at 1.0900

Chart GBP/USD Update: Strong resistance at the 1.2755 Fibonacci retracement
Freemium Article

May 16, 2024 7:29 AM UTC

Late-April gains have reached congestion resistance at 1.2700

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Room for deeper pullback from 197.05, Fibonacci level
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 7:26 AM UTC

Settling back from test of the 197.00/05 level and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Lower in consolidation from the 104.00 high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 7:12 AM UTC

Extending pullback from the 104.00 high as prices unwind the overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Lower in consolidation, 1.6218 low at risk
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 6:59 AM UTC

 Shallow bounce from the 1.6218 low has given way to selling pressure to threaten the latter

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Extending pullback from the 1.1030 high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 6:38 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.0950 support has given way to break to extend losses from the 1.1030 YTD high

USD, JPY, EUR, NOK flows: NOK and JPY remain attractive
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 6:33 AM UTC

The dip in the NOK after this morning's GDP data looks like a buying opportunity. JPY strength has further to go.

Chart USD/TWD Update: Consolidating, but room to extend losses from April YTD high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 6:24 AM UTC

Consolidating at the 32.040 low as prices unwind the oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/MYR Update: Within reach of 4.6720, March low
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 5:57 AM UTC

Break of the 4.7000 level further extend sharp losses towards the 4.6720, March low

Asia Summary and Highlights 16 May
Freemium Article

May 16, 2024 5:10 AM UTC

Japan's annualized Q1 GDP -2.0% vs -1.5% expected
Australian April unemployment rate 4.1% vs. 3.9% expected

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 16th
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 5:05 AM UTC

USD to stay soft after mildly softer CPI
USD/JPY still has most scope for decline
EUR/JPY also looks overstretched
AUD unlikely to move far on employment data

AUD/USD flows: Mixed jobs report evaporize early gains
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 5:03 AM UTC

Australian April unemployment rate 4.1% vs. 3.9% expected

Chart USD/INR Update: Room for deeper pullback from 83.5350 high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 5:02 AM UTC

 Leaning lower from the 83.5350 high as prices unwind the overbought daily and weekly studies

USD/JPY flows: Preliminary GDP Deep in the Red
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 4:48 AM UTC

Japan's annualized Q1 GDP -2.0% vs -1.5% expected

Chart USD/CNH Update: Poised for retest of 7.2000 support
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 3:54 AM UTC

Extending pullback from the 7.2470 high and break of the 7.2200 support see the 7.2000 level now within reach

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Extending losses from the April high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 3:41 AM UTC

Gapped lower at the open through the 16000/15979 support to extend losses from the 16284, April YTD high

Chart USD/THB Update: Weighing on 36.20 support, break in focus
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 3:23 AM UTC

Sharply lower to extend break of the 36.50 support to reach strong support at 36.24/36.20 area

Chart USD/KRW Update: Extending losses from the 1400.00 high
Paying Article

May 16, 2024 2:59 AM UTC

Extending pullback from the Monday's 1373.00 high to reach the 1350.00/1347.00 support